Running to Disaster: The Complete Series
CommandEleven’s eight-part study of how Pakistan’s radicalization and terrorism problem was built, from the US-funded ‘Alphabet of Jihad’ and KGB active measures to al-Qaeda and ISIS.
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CommandEleven’s eight-part study of how Pakistan’s radicalization and terrorism problem was built, from the US-funded ‘Alphabet of Jihad’ and KGB active measures to al-Qaeda and ISIS.
Since February 2026, cheap one-way drones have given the Taliban a way to answer Pakistani airstrikes in kind. What’s confirmed, and who else is flying.
A three-part series on the Moscow Format’s collapse, the Pakistan-Taliban border war, Russia’s and India’s real roles in Kabul, and what the record supports on Western intelligence and the Taliban.
The public sourcing on Western intelligence cooperation with the Taliban is thinner than the question deserves. Here is exactly where it stands.
Moscow is deepening ties with Kabul without abandoning Islamabad. Delhi is engaging without recognizing. Neither is forming a bloc.
The 8th Moscow Format talks ended without a joint statement for the first time since 2017. Days later, Pakistan and the Taliban were fighting an open border war.
Our November 2023 briefing paper on Afghanistan, scored three years on: six calls confirmed, three not confirmed and one still open.
One state, three fronts: the Afghan war, the TTP-AQIS sanctuary and the Baloch insurgency. Why force has not resolved any of them.
Al-Qaeda’s 9/11 video brings back Hamza bin Laden. The bigger story: UN reporting puts AQIS leaders in Kabul with Taliban-issued IDs.
UN reporting puts about 6,000 TTP fighters in eastern Afghanistan, with Taliban-linked facilitation. Why the sanctuary survives Pakistan’s war.
How an October 2025 strike on the TTP’s leader became Operation Ghazab lil-Haq, a three-week air war, and a rivalry that reheated in September.
A five-part series on Pakistan’s 2026: the open war with the Afghan Taliban, the TTP sanctuary, al-Qaeda in Kabul and the Baloch insurgency.
Our April 2026 GCTA was right that the TTP’s Afghan sanctuary would survive Pakistan’s war. It got the provinces, the trigger and Wana wrong.
India’s weakest monsoon since 2015, Pakistan’s 33% flour inflation and Bangladesh’s diesel-run irrigation: the subcontinent faces every food shock at once, peaking in early 2027.
Part 1 of the IRGC series: how insurgents from the Sahel to South Asia swap state sponsors for kidnapping, extortion and smuggling as self-funding models.
A technical intelligence dossier evaluating geomorphic ingress specifications, multi-spectral subsurface mapping, and permanent tunnel elimination mechanics.
A forensic baseline of the Indian Subcontinent: border dynamics, proxy network synchronization and autonomous strike capability.
A detailed operational assessment tracking pooled infrastructure networks, shared mountain passes, and tactical sanitization dynamics along frontier corridors.
How the Haqqani Network proliferates technology and weapons to ISKP, TTP and BLA cells, and the distribution routes it uses.
The transnational funding pipelines, DeFi mechanics and diaspora radicalization pathways that sustain TTP border operations.
How ISKP mutated into the central hub for ISIS external operations, and its targeting of the Western Hemisphere.
The restructured TTP command, the role of the Rahbari Shura, and the tactical impact of Jamaat-ul-Ahrar’s re-integration.
How the TTP rebuilt after 2021 from Afghan safe havens: Vilayat command, Western small arms, crypto finance and cross-border raids into Pakistan.
Cross-border friction points, sanctuaries and security gaps along the Indian Subcontinent’s frontier seams.
Auditing how Western battlefield hardware leaks into TTP and BLA arsenals, and how it is integrated tactically.
Pakistan’s Operation Ghazab lil-Haq takes the TTP fight into Afghanistan, including Kabul, as NATO-grade weapons and drones raise TTP lethality in 2026.
Foresight audit: how the 2021 US exit opened the Anvil Gap, gave the TTP Afghan sanctuary and NATO optics, and made Operation Ghazb lil Haq necessary.
Focus Hub I: how drone-led pre-emption under Operation Ghazb lil Haq answers TTP night optics, the Noor Wali rebrand and the Pak-Afghan Anvil Gap.
How Operation Ghazb lil Haq uses indigenous drones, SIGINT and SSG snipers to strike TTP cells at assembly and offset their NATO-grade night optics.
A detailed dossier auditing the mechanical convergence between the Haqqani Network and ISKP. Analyzing shared logistical corridors and technical synergies.
Argues ISKP’s ‘former’ Haqqani emir is no defector: the Haqqani Network shields ISKP cells and supplies state-grade hardware for deniable strikes.
Assesses the Haqqani Network uses ISKP as a deniable external-operations arm, sheltering its cells in Kabul and Jalalabad and supplying state-grade arms.
Assesses a TTP-ISKP pact on the Peshawar-Malakand axis: TTP terrain and manpower traded for ISKP explosives, night optics and faster radicalisation.
Analysis of the tactical convergence between BLA and ISKP, focusing on hardware exchange and shared facilitation corridors.
Assesses that ISKP’s rivalry with the Taliban, Al-Qaeda and TTP is a mirage: Haqqani cover lets it act as a deniable kinetic arm aiding the TTP and BLA.