MacDill Breach & RAF Fairford Plot: Two Bases, One War
MacDill breach and RAF Fairford arrests, hours apart in Sept 2026: every 2026 incident at both bases tested against the Iran war’s rear-area campaign.
October 1, 2026
MacDill breach and RAF Fairford arrests, hours apart in Sept 2026: every 2026 incident at both bases tested against the Iran war’s rear-area campaign.
Part II: diesel at $6, beef up 10% and a strong El Nino building. A tracker of what US households and Washington should expect on food and fuel to 2027.
Part I: a 2015 CNA war game modeled a fertilizer-fuel-food shock from a closed Gulf chokepoint. In 2026 the Iran war, Hormuz and $6 diesel made it real.
Critical Infrastructure at Risk series intro: US water, power, gas, communications and finance, each with its own threat profile and a household guide.
China’s Salt Typhoon exploited the US wiretap system itself, kept breaching telecoms after exposure, and the FCC rolled back the rules meant to stop it.
A decade of Chinese state targeting of US gas pipelines, the Colonial shutdown that never touched the pipeline’s OT, and why gas disruption hits the grid.
Volt Typhoon’s year inside a US utility, rising substation attacks, and new risk from internet-linked solar, battery and EV devices: US grid security now.
150,000 US water systems, no central authority, and a July 2026 cyberattack across 12 states assessed as Iran-linked, plus a $500 household water plan.
Part 4 tests whether Europe’s 2025-26 attacks on Jewish sites by Hamas, Hezbollah and accelerationists foreshadowed the Michigan synagogue attack.
World Cup 2026 and the July 4 Semiquincentennial widen US soft-target exposure as analyst attrition, FBI over-reliance and agency friction strain defences.
A comparative intelligence assessment analyzing the operational divergence between the 2026 US Counterterrorism Strategy and CommandEleven field tracking.
Intelligence dossier on the strategic expansion of the Alaskan Command and the integration of the Ambler Access Project within the Arctic security framework.
US-China rivalry over South America’s lithium and rare earths: Chinese stakes and the Chancay port versus Washington’s financing and partnership counters.
Assesses how the IRGC-QF and Hezbollah trade laundering, documents and weapons tech to Latin American cartels for covert access to the US southern border.
How China’s sensor web across the South China Sea enables predictive coast guard blockades, and how the Philippines and Vietnam are pushing back in 2026.
How the Philippine-US alliance moved to distributed deterrence in 2026: MDT cover for the coast guard, nine EDCA sites, and Beijing’s gray zone response.
Technical audit of the Bashi Channel “Acoustic Handshake,” UDA integration, and the “Flash-Dark” vulnerabilities of 2026 maritime
Clinical audit of the 2026 shift from Exquisite Deterrence to the Wall of Attrition. Analyzing PGM depletion and the hardening of the First Island Chain.
Intelligence assessment of the Jakarta-Washington pact, maritime chokepoints, and the resurgence of regional terror groups in the “Surveillance Void.”
A clinical audit of the delta between Western strategic intent and actual logistical capacity. It dismantles the myth of “unbeatable” hegemony by modeling the impact of the Levantine PGM drain on Pacific readiness.
Tactical assessment of the U.S.-Indonesia Major Defense Cooperation Partnership. Analyzing the “Southern Gateway” counter-blockade against shadow-fleet operations.
The political, military and corruption failures behind the US defeat in Afghanistan, why blaming Pakistan fails, and a case for US partnership in CPEC.
Lt Gen Tariq Khan (Retd) answers Trump’s 2017 Afghanistan strategy with an 11-point agenda for Pakistan, from closing NATO routes to countering India.
While some of the faces and names may have changed, the result is the same – a tense relationship that is always open to modification by other parties, whether part of the US government or not.