Seven dated calls came due on November 2: five right, one partly right, one miss. France’s turnout fell as we called, the October 24 arson we expected did not happen, and Germany turned violent. What we got right, what we missed, and how we scored it.
The unrest has spread beyond France: Barcelona looting, a terrorism-linked arrest in Italy, clashes in Tirana, and 21 German cities called for October 31, the same day as Acte III. What spread, what didn’t, and what to watch.
A Russian military satellite spent three weeks manoeuvring onto a commercial radar satellite that supports Ukraine, then passed within metres to kilometres of it. What is confirmed, what it could mean, and what to watch.
Two linked dossiers on Hamas’s foiled Berlin-Vienna plot: the Turkey-coordinated cell, and the Haniyeh bodyguard who ran it from a British rear base.
Germany’s 214-page indictment, a Turkey training hub, a five-country sleeper footprint and a BfV informant who hid his role: Hamas’s Berlin-Vienna network.
Germany blamed Russia for the Aug 2026 Leipzig airport drone attack and weighs giving Ukraine strike coordinates, possibly the overreaction Moscow wants.
