Liquid Cartels

Liquid Cartels: The Criminal Economy of Insurgency – A Four-Part CommandEleven Intelligence Series

Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF)

Liquid Cartels series intro: fuel siphoning, precursor chemicals, port capture and hawala, and how to starve the criminal economy that funds insurgency.

Why This Series, Why Now

Modern insurgencies no longer depend on a state sponsor’s cash. They run businesses: fuel siphoning, precursor chemicals, port rackets, customs fraud and the informal money networks that move the proceeds. The organizations doing this are fluid, hiring and dropping criminal partners as markets change, which is why CommandEleven Intelligence calls them liquid cartels.

This series follows that criminal economy from the money, through the supply chains and the ports, to the measures that can starve it.

What This Series Covers

How to Read It

Parts 1 to 3 map the economy: money, supply chain and territory. Part 4 is the response. The analytical framework behind the series, how insurgencies monetize instability, is set out in The Criminal-Terror Nexus: How Insurgencies Monetize Instability, and the cartel case study is Mexico’s Cartels in 2026.

A Note on Method

Claims across the series are confidence-tiered as CONFIRMED, ASSESSED or SPECULATIVE. The series describes how these networks operate and how to disrupt them; it does not provide operational detail that would help anyone replicate them.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a liquid cartel?

CommandEleven Intelligence's term for an armed or insurgent organization that funds itself through fluid criminal partnerships, picking up and dropping partners as markets change.

How do insurgencies make money without state sponsors?

Through fuel siphoning, precursor-chemical trade, port and customs rackets, and hawala networks that turn stolen commodities into cash.

What is the Triad-Sinaloa handshake?

The chemical procurement loop linking Asian suppliers with Mexican cartels such as Sinaloa, covered in Part 2.

How can this criminal economy be disrupted?

Part 4 sets out countermeasures that cut the utilities, ledgers and logistics parallel systems depend on.