The Sahel Collapse: A Nine-Part CommandEleven Intelligence Series
The Sahel Collapse series intro: Mali’s administrative failure, JNIM’s sieges, Russia’s Africa Corps, the inter-jihadi war and international abandonment.
The Bamako Blueprint Failure: Auditing International Abandonment – Part 9
Auditing the collapse of international security missions in Mali and the Sahel: the intelligence blackout, registry subversion and a Mosaic Defense fix.
Liptako-Gourma Crisis: The Inter-Jihadi War for the Sahel – Part 8
Intelligence dossier analyzing the territorial war between ISGS and JNIM in the Liptako-Gourma region and the collapse of state authority in the central Sahel.
The Evolution of Sahelian Non-State Governance: Tactical Analysis – Part 7
An intelligence assessment tracking how violent non-state actors (VNSAs) build alternative administrative, tax, and judicial structures across the Sahel.
Africa Corps: Russia’s Institutionalized Footprint in the Sahel – Part 6
Russia’s Africa Corps in 2026: the GRU-run Wagner successor props up Sahel juntas for gold, lithium and uranium rights while fuelling JNIM recruitment.
UAV Proliferation & C-UAS in the Sahel: A Technical Audit – Part 5
Technical analysis of the asymmetric drone threat in the Sahel. Evaluating C-UAS engineering challenges in desert environments and the rise of autonomous UAVs.
The Persistence Gap: Sahel and East Africa Strategic Audit – Part 4
Why clear-hold-build fails against Al-Shabaab and IS-Sahel in Somalia, Mozambique and the Sahel, and the case for decentralised Administrative Tiles.
The Velocity of Institutional Rupture: Assessing the 45-Day Terminal Window – Part 3
CommandEleven audits the “Bamako Blueprint” and the 45-day velocity of state failure. Analysis of logistical asphyxiation, administrative hollowing, and the #72/48 Resilience Protocol.
Mali’s Terminal Collapse: The 45-Day “Dark-State” Projection – Part 2
A clinical audit of the Sahelian Front. Deconstructing JNIM’s “Siege Architecture,” the interdiction of gold/lithium reserves, and the 45-day velocity of Mali’s total administrative rupture.
The Fall of Bamako: A Clinical Audit of Mali’s Administrative Collapse – Part 1
A clinical audit of the JNIM/AQIM administrative seizure of Mali. Deconstructing the collapse of Bamako, regional contagion risks, and the interdiction of gold and lithium supply chains.