Threat Assessments

Threat assessments are among the most operationally consequential products in the intelligence cycle. A well-constructed threat assessment does not merely catalogue what is known — it synthesises intelligence into a structured, actionable evaluation of probability, capability, intent, and impact that enables decision-makers to allocate resources, harden targets, and prepare contingency responses before an attack occurs.

CommandEleven’s Threat Assessment series covers both sector-specific assessments — hospitals, critical infrastructure, soft targets, financial systems — and geographic or actor-specific evaluations that measure the realistic threat posed by al-Qaeda, the IRGC, ISIS, TTP, and associated networks to specific territories and target sets. Assessments are updated as the intelligence environment changes, and where threat conditions have evolved significantly, updated versions replace or supplement earlier editions.

This category is particularly relevant to security directors, risk managers, facility protection officers, corporate security teams, and government planners responsible for protective intelligence and contingency preparedness. CommandEleven’s threat assessments are designed to be integrated directly into organisational security planning — not filed and forgotten.

US Hospital Threat Assessment

The threat assessment presented below is to advise and assist hospitals and trauma centers in preparing for an upcoming terrorist attack orchestrated by Islamic State Khorasan Province (ISKP), as a prelude to a secondary attack by al Qaeda.

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The Current Situation on the Pak-Afghan Border

The Insiders host, Syed Khalid Muhammad, takes a few moments to discuss what is happening on the Pak-Afghan border and the situation in Afghanistan. Khalid speaks in relative detail about the reasons for the Taliban is unable to remove or restrain the Tehreek-e-Taliban (TTP) cross-border attacks against Pakistan, sharing insight on what would happen if the TTP were expelled and what the potential next moves are for the Islamic State – Khorasan Province.

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Security Challenges for the New Government

Syed Khalid Muhammad, CommandEleven Executive Director, discussed in detail the security challenges that Pakistan’s new government faces in both Baluchistan and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa from insurgency and terrorism from Baluchistan Liberation Army (BLA) and Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP).

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SITREP: Afghanistan

Last Wednesday’s massive terrorist attack in Kabul’s diplomatic sector happened, Afghanistan went into a panicked state. The panic was more from having their completely failed security apparatus exposed in such a gruesome fashion than responding to the attack itself.

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