Intelligence Assessments
Assessments of threats to the US homeland, from extremist violence to foreign influence and attacks on critical infrastructure.
Back to the Operations CenterPart I: a 2015 CNA war game modeled a fertilizer-fuel-food shock from a closed Gulf chokepoint. In 2026 the Iran war, Hormuz and $6 diesel made it real.
Critical Infrastructure at Risk series intro: US water, power, gas, communications and finance, each with its own threat profile and a household guide.
China’s Salt Typhoon exploited the US wiretap system itself, kept breaching telecoms after exposure, and the FCC rolled back the rules meant to stop it.
A decade of Chinese state targeting of US gas pipelines, the Colonial shutdown that never touched the pipeline’s OT, and why gas disruption hits the grid.
Volt Typhoon’s year inside a US utility, rising substation attacks, and new risk from internet-linked solar, battery and EV devices: US grid security now.
150,000 US water systems, no central authority, and a July 2026 cyberattack across 12 states assessed as Iran-linked, plus a $500 household water plan.
Part 4 tests whether Europe’s 2025-26 attacks on Jewish sites by Hamas, Hezbollah and accelerationists foreshadowed the Michigan synagogue attack.
A forensic baseline of the US-Mexico security theater: FTO designations, cartel attrition and USMCA integration metrics.
World Cup 2026 and the July 4 Semiquincentennial widen US soft-target exposure as analyst attrition, FBI over-reliance and agency friction strain defences.
A comparative intelligence assessment analyzing the operational divergence between the 2026 US Counterterrorism Strategy and CommandEleven field tracking.
