We had long debates at CommandEleven on whether to make this public or not. We had conversations with people we trust from the Counter Terrorism community.
We estimate 11,000 terrorists spread in these locations and others that we are still trying to confirm.
The threat assessment presented below is to advise and assist primary care centers, trauma centers and first responders in preparing for an upcoming terrorist attack to be carried out by the Islamic State (ISIS) and the Islamic State Khorasan Province (ISKP), but orchestrated by al Qaeda, as a prelude to a secondary, much larger attack, by al Qaeda.
The aftermath of the recent Pahalgam attack in Kashmir, for which Indian officials quickly pointed fingers at Pakistan, has only deepened hostilities. India used the incident to bolster its anti-Pakistan narrative planned for isolating Islamabad on the international stage.
In keeping with that belief, we are sharing the tracking sheet that we have been building on threat, alerts and incidents in the continental United States since Jan 01, 2025.
The threat assessment presented below is to advise and assist hospitals and trauma centers in preparing for an upcoming terrorist attack orchestrated by Islamic State Khorasan Province (ISKP), as a prelude to a secondary attack by al Qaeda.
al Qaeda’s homeland plot is planned for 2025, directed by Hamza bin-Laden and masterminded by Sayf al-Adel. Attackers are already in the United States having taken advantage of lax immigration policies of the previous administration, though their exact number remains unknown. In addition to preparing for attacks, they are actively recruiting, focusing on refugees and insider threats.
The announcement of the “newly formed high powered committee” comically named “Iron Shield,” is just another failure for Pakistan’s inept national security infrastructure.
Pakistan’s security situation has long evolved as a consequence of the complex intersection of multiple factors, including geopolitical dilemmas, internal dissension, and history. The recently suggested notion of Pakistan being a hard state—one that prioritises security over other aspects of governance and socio-economic development—is being widely debated in drawing rooms, a select few editorials and op-eds, and YouTube vlogs.
The battlespace changed again when the US invaded Iraq and deposed Saddam Hussain. The mistake most make is assuming the battlefield changed on 9/11. That was the instigating event that weakened al Qaeda and created a space for another group to emerge.