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Category: Geopolitics

Geopolitics is the discipline of understanding how geography, power, and strategic interest shape the decisions of states and the conflicts that result. In an era of accelerating multipolarity — where US primacy is contested by China and Russia while middle powers assert independent strategic agency — rigorous geopolitical intelligence has never been more valuable to governments, corporations, and institutions navigating an uncertain world.

CommandEleven’s geopolitical analysis applies the tools of intelligence tradecraft to the biggest structural questions of the current order: How is the US-China competition reshaping the Indo-Pacific and global supply chains? What does Russian strategic doctrine mean for European security and NATO’s eastern flank? How are middle powers — India, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan — positioning themselves in a world where alignment is increasingly transactional? And where do the flashpoints lie that could tip regional tension into direct great power conflict?

This category collects CommandEleven’s broader geopolitical and strategic analyses — pieces that operate above the tactical and operational level to examine the systemic forces and long-range trajectories that define the security environment our clients must navigate.

Afghanistan Turmoil: Why Internal Factors Are Not Being Addressed?

Following the 9/11 incident in 2001, US and its allied forces invaded Afghanistan in a bid to eliminate Al-Qaida and Taliban, their safe-heavens and free the country from their “oppression.” Apart from providing billons of aids for reconstruction and development of Afghanistan, the United States have spent $70 billion thus far to build 350,000 strong Afghan National Army and Police to fight against terrorism and provide better security to the people.

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June 12, 2017

Gulf Crisis – Southeast Asia Has Seen It All Before

To Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, the 2011 Arab popular revolts that toppled autocratic leaders in four countries and sparked the rise of Islamist forces posed a mortal threat. In response, the two countries launched a counterrevolution that six years later continues to leave a trail of brutal repression at home and spilt blood elsewhere in the Middle East and North Africa.

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June 8, 2017

Gulf Crisis – Surrender or Dig In For The Long Haul

The stakes are far higher than when Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Bahrain withdrew their ambassadors from Doha in 2014 for a period of ten months, but failed to force Qatar to change its policies. Saudi Arabia and the UAE by now also breaking off economic ties are also seeking to disrupt Qatar’s air, sea and land links and complicate its exports and imports, and particularly its food supplies.

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June 8, 2017

Pakistan and Its Neighbors

In Afghanistan, Pakistan has been scapegoated for a while – tactical failures and strategic reverses are conveniently justified by blaming it on Pakistan. It is fashionable for our own intellectuals to join in the chorus and blame the infamous Establishment. At times, I feel that Pakistan would be a better place to live in and things would be so much more stable and peaceful if this establishment was taken out of the equation.

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June 6, 2017

The US Does Not Want to Leave Afghanistan

Amid ruckus and mayhem in Afghanistan, top US officials, Defense Secretary James Mattis and Secretary of State Rex Tillerson, have given a good account of what is the offing for the country. The day president Ghani offered an olive branch to the Taliban, James Mattis rejected the very idea.

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June 5, 2017

Gulf Crisis – A Battle For The Middle East and Muslims

A Saudi and UAE-led campaign to force Qatar to halt its support for Islamists and militants is little else than a struggle to establish a Saudi-dominated regional order in the Middle East and North Africa that suppresses any challenge to the kingdom’s religiously cloaked form of autocratic monarchy.

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June 5, 2017

The Longer It Lasts, The Higher The Stakes Get

Caving in to Saudi and UAE demands that it break its ties to Islamists and militants and curb, if not shutter, Qatar-funded media like Al Jazeera, would amount to Qatar surrendering its ability to chart its own course, and like Bahrain becoming a Saudi vassal.

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June 1, 2017

Talking Tough With Islamabad

The US is deliberating upon a military-heavy policy option to turn the tables in Afghanistan since it employed the GBU 43 bomb against IS last month in Nangarhar. A change in policy was deemed necessary because of Taliban’s swift and unabated resurgence. There have been many deliberations and statements but McMaster is the first senior official who has talked about the new policy applying to Pakistan too.

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May 10, 2017

The Effect of Rising Tensions between Iran & Pakistan

Pakistan’s tenuous house is built on a torturous effort to balance relations with Saudi Arabia and Iran amid rising tension between the two regional rivals, prevent Pakistan from becoming an operational base for possible Saudi and US efforts to destabilize the Islamic republic, and employ militant groups as proxies in achieving its geopolitical objectives.

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May 9, 2017
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