Foresight Audit: Our China-Iran War Calls, Scored Honestly
We scored 10 CommandEleven Intelligence calls on China’s role in the Iran war: 4 confirmed, 1 partial, 4 open, 1 not borne out, plus what we missed and corrected.
October 8, 2026
We scored 10 CommandEleven Intelligence calls on China’s role in the Iran war: 4 confirmed, 1 partial, 4 open, 1 not borne out, plus what we missed and corrected.
1,300 shipments, propellant ships, satellite imagery and a UN veto: CommandEleven Intelligence maps how China supplied Iran’s 2026 war while keeping deniability.
Iran’s gig-terror model from the 2026 Hatzola arson to RAF Fairford: how HAYI escalated in target but not capability, and what Fairford cannot yet show.
MacDill breach and RAF Fairford arrests, hours apart in Sept 2026: every 2026 incident at both bases tested against the Iran war’s rear-area campaign.
Iran War Doctrine series intro: six parts testing Iran’s asymmetric doctrine against 2026 war evidence, from GPS spoofing and AI propaganda to exhaustion.
Part VI: Bahrain naval base disabled, over a dozen radars hit and a failed regime-change bet: six months of evidence testing Iran’s doctrine of endurance.
Named entities, dated sanctions actions, and specific enforcement cases behind Iran’s drone and missile procurement network – and why it keeps surviving.
Part IV: a carrier fire inflated by AI video, a real press conference called fake: the fact-checked record of Iran’s AI-native wartime propaganda in 2026.
Part III: 1,735 GPS spoofing events hit 655 ships in a week at Hormuz, a chokepoint for a fifth of world oil: the dated record of Iran’s 2026 EW campaign.
Part II: six months into the 2026 Iran war, with air superiority and Khamenei dead, no ground invasion. Why not, and what a limited ground raid could be.
Part I: why Iran built its doctrine on asymmetric warfare and mosaic defense, and how it is being tested by the 2026 decapitation of its Supreme Leader.
Leaked documents show Russia’s C430L program helping Iran develop ramjet cruise missiles, likely payback for the Shahed drones used against Ukraine.
Two decades of US Treasury and State designations, and a deepening 2026 Houthi-al-Shabaab alliance, trace Iran’s evolving relationship with al-Qaeda.
Iran’s homeland threat to the US: the 2011 Arbabsiar plot, unattributed 2026 drone incursions at US bases, and an assessed IRGC sleeper-cell model.
From rumor to record – the Caspian Sea reveal, confirmed troop and munitions numbers, and the architecture tying four adversaries together.
The closing chapter linking all four actors — plus Iran’s Taliban relationship and what it means for Pakistan’s security.
The 2026 US intelligence reassessment that puts North Korean ICBMs within homeland reach — and Pyongyang’s direct threats against Japan.
Hezbollah, the Houthis, Hamas, and Iraqi militias — how Tehran’s deniable network holds Hormuz and the Red Sea at risk without direct conflict.
How Russia channels North Korean troops and Chinese components into Ukraine while arming Iran — plus the confirmed August 2026 Baltic warning to Moscow.
How Chinese infrastructure intrusion and satellite-navigation transfer to Iran converge , from Salt Typhoon to the August 2026 US grid-security order.
Part 1 of the grey zone series: CommandEleven’s four-term framework, from Interdiction Zone to Kinetic Gate, and why infrastructure is the common target.
How Iran disperses drone and missile production to proxies via modular kits, front-company procurement, smuggling corridors and trained local cells.
Assesses how the IRGC-QF and Hezbollah trade laundering, documents and weapons tech to Latin American cartels for covert access to the US southern border.
Strategic audit of the IRGC’s transition to a Garrison State. Analysis of the Fujairah Pipeline threat, the UAE’s OPEC exit, and the 72-hour window for maritime interdiction.
Analyzing China’s 2026 Iran strategy: Munition attrition and the rare earth veto. High-level geopolitical risk and theater-level impact assessment.
Expert analysis of Iran’s military response to Israel and the failed counter strike. Insights from CommandEleven’s geopolitical analysts on Middle East escalation.